ELON MUSK THINKS we might all be living in a computer simulation. He says that “there’s a one in a billion chance that this is base reality.” The idea, on its face, sounds completely insane. But when you sit down and listen to why he thinks it, it’s actually not that crazy.
Okay, it’s still a little crazy. But this video by Vox makes it sound at least…coherent. The idea is simple: In just the past 40 years, we’ve come from Pong to games like the Sims, or video games that are pretty realistic. It stands to reason that, in the next few decades, our games are going to get even more realistic. To the point where we may be able to realistically simulate most of the things happening in real life. A hyper-realistic simulation may, in fact, be able to create its own simulations. How do we know that we’re not one of these hyper-realistic simulations?