Looking for a White Christmas? 25 Destinations in the US Where There's a Good Chance of Snow

It’s too early to say for sure where we will get snow on the big day, but long-range weather forecasts are nodding towards a slightly higher-than-normal chance that we’ll get colder and drier conditions in the run-up to Christmas. The likelihood of a White Christmas varies across the country, with regions in the north and at higher altitudes generally having a better chance.

SIXT examined data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to assess the average chance of snowfall on Christmas Day for various locations across the country. This information was cross-referenced with local holiday event calendars to identify places that offer a wealth of festive activities, ensuring a truly magical winter experience.

“A White Christmas is a magical experience that can turn a simple holiday trip into a memorable adventure. By combining a high likelihood of snowfall with a variety of festive activities, these destinations offer the perfect setting for a winter wonderland getaway. Whether you’re seeking a cozy mountain retreat or a bustling city with holiday cheer, these top 25 locations have something for everyone,” says Jen Adams, Head of Partnerships and travel expert at SIXT.

So, where should you go to increase your chances of waking up to a blanket of powder? Fairbanks, Alaska — commonly known as America’s coldest city — takes the top stop with a near-guaranteed 100 percent chance of snowfall. Fairbanks, being only 120 miles south of the Arctic Circle, has limited daylight hours at this time of year, but that means there are excellent conditions for viewing the northern lights. Couple that with experiences like dog sledding, ice fishing, cross-country skiing, and staying in a remote log cabin in a snowy forest; you’ve got a recipe for an unforgettable winter vacation. Renowned ski resort town Aspen takes second place for the promise of snow and world-class skiing, snowboarding, and après-ski activities. Breckenridge, another Colorado winter hotspot, takes third place for an almost guaranteed dumping of powder and a range of winter activities.

Here’s a full list of the top 25 destinations:

1. Fairbanks, Alaska — 100 percent chance of a White Christmas
2. Aspen, Colorado — 99.9 percent
3. Breckenridge, Colorado — 97.7 percent
4. Marquette, Michigan — 95.6 percent
5. Duluth, Minnesota — 92.2 percent
6. Bozeman, Montana — 91.1 percent
7. Idaho Falls, Idaho — 88.1 percent
8. Laramie, Wyoming — 78.4 percent
9. New Hope, Minnesota — 78.8 percent
10. Fargo, North Dakota — 77.6 percent
11. Sioux Falls, South Dakota — 77.6 percent
12. St. Cloud, Minnesota — 76.5 percent
13. Minneapolis, Minnesota — 73.6 percent
14. Eau Claire, Wyoming — 73.7 percent
15. Casper, Wyoming — 70 percent
16. Green Bay, Wisconsin — 66.3 percent
17. Missoula, Montana — 65.9 percent
18. Burlington, Vermont — 62.3 percent
19. Concord, New Hampshire — 62.6 percent
20. Bangor, Maine — 61.1 percent
21. Mason City, Iowa — 60.5 percent
22. Grand Rapids, Michigan — 55.6 percent
23. Syracuse, New York — 56.3 percent
24. Rochester, New York — 51.5 percent
25. Ithaca, New York — 51.2 percent

Whether you’re seeking a peaceful family getaway or an action-packed winter vacation, these 25 destinations offer the perfect blend of snow, fun, and holiday cheer.